DISTRIBUTION M&A MARKET DYNAMICS
- Globally, 149 Distribution transactions closed in Q2-25. Strategic buyer activity declined meaningfully from Q2-24 as many companies shifted focus toward operational improvements and organic growth instead of pursuing acquisitions amid tariff-related uncertainty. In the U.S., this shift was evident as deal volume dropped from 106 in Q2-24 to 65 in Q2-25, underscoring the near-term impact of macro and policy headwinds.
- Financial buyers’ investment activity remained relatively steady, increasing in the US and only a modest decline in activity globally. Sponsors continued to pursue high-conviction theses and invest selectively in attractive businesses despite the challenging macroeconomic environment. Supporting this resilience, the Industrial Production Index trended upward, indicating that U.S. companies strengthened their core operations and positioned themselves for future growth.
- Although overall deal volume declined, average transaction sizes expanded significantly. The average deal size rose to $275M in Q2-25, compared to $53M in Q2-24, reflecting strong demand for high-quality assets. Notable transactions, such as the $600M KCG–Foundation Building Materials merger, emphasized ongoing appetite for companies with durable cashflows and strategic positions in desirable sectors.(1)
Sources: (1) Capital IQ, PMCF proprietary data
Distribution M&A Pulse – Q4 2025
Q4 2025 reflected lower transaction volumes alongside sustained strategic engagement. Global distribution M&A activity declined 36% year over year during the quarter, with U.S. volumes exhibiting a similar contraction.
Distribution M&A Pulse – Q3 2025
In Q3-25, the market saw 138 Distribution transactions close worldwide.
Distribution M&A Pulse – Q1 2025
In Q1-25, the market saw 141 Distribution transactions close worldwide.
Distribution M&A Pulse – Q4 2024
The US Distribution sector finished 2024 with a year-over-year decline in M&A activity recording 81 deals in Q4-24, an 18.2 percent decrease from Q4-23.
Distribution M&A Pulse – Q3 2024
In Q3 2024, the global Distribution sector recorded 143 deals, while the U.S. sector closed 66, representing a slight decline compared to the same quarter in 2023.
